Substance Matters

At a recent presentation in Texas, Stephen E. Shay, Deputy Assistant Secretary for International Tax Affairs in the U.S. Treasury Department, was asked about the likelihood of the U.S. adopting a Federal consumption tax.

In response, Mr. Shay avoided the question completely stating that the policy must be carefully evaluated in context. His point: The U.S. relies more heavily on corporate tax receipts as compared with the other G20 nations; thus, it is unlikely the U.S. would adopt a consumption-based system at the Federal level. In other words, since we are already so good at pillaging corporate taxpayers, why do we need to branch out and further pillage individuals?

If only it were so simple.

The Congressional Budget Office forecasts a continued decline in U.S. corporate tax receipts – due to, among other things, the U.S. having the second-highest corporate tax rate in the developed world, lack of available capital and general economic malaise.

So, if 1) corporate tax receipts are declining and 2) a Federal consumption tax is not on the menu, what’s left? Perhaps Mr. Shay’s position presages the Administration’s likely next move – despite statements to the contrary – to seek repeal of deferral of non-U.S. earnings, so that there would be current taxation and a likely residual U.S. tax, since many of those earnings are subject to rates of taxation below the U.S.’ current confiscatory 35% rate?

In the immortal words of Han Solo, “I’ve got a bad feeling about this.”

The U.S. government is inefficient and overrun with bureaucracy. The current direction of U.S. tax policy – a confiscatory corporate tax-rate – will continue to stifle job growth and constrain Foreign Direct Investment. The U.S. needs to follow the lead of Canada, Ireland, the UK, and other trading partners who have reduced corporate taxes as a means of stimulating employment and GDP growth. Every 1% point drop in the corporate tax rate translates into a 0.1% increase in GDP.

Given the wealth of empirical and anecdotal evidence, and despite Mr. Shay’s statement to the contrary, we believe the Federal consumption tax option must remain in play.

Apparently Congress is taking tips on how to fix the economy from my dog. Don’t get me wrong, Macallan is a very smart pup, but he’s not exactly about to turn the recession around – unless you consider his eating my shoes as an attempt to stimulate consumer spending. Macallan is a puppy and he has a puppy attention span. He tears his stuffed toy apart one moment and wants to cuddle on the couch the next. He is full of energy and enthusiasm but has no understanding of how to channel it.

Macallan's approach to tax reform

Congress seems to have the same issue. With respect to the economy, the focus appears to be on short-term quick fixes and the “flavor of the week” (e.g., job credits) more so than on addressing the fundamental, systemic problems that have resulted in our current predicament.

U.S. tax policy plays a key role in the health of our economy and current policy is hindering our ability to be competitive in the global economy. Among the many reasons:

1. The U.S. has the highest corporate tax rate (second only to Japan) among developed countries in the world.
2. The U.S. is the only OECD member country without a consumption-based system of taxation.
3. The U.S only provides a temporary incentive for Research and Development (“R&D”) related activities resulting in businesses wondering whether the R&D credit will be around long-term and if it’s worth investing in U.S. R&D if there is not going to be an incentive to do so.

Businesses make investment decisions based in large part on taxes – the higher the corporate tax rate, the lower the after-tax-return from those investments.

By cutting the corporate tax rate by 10% or more over time, including a permanent extension of the R&D credit, eliminating the domestic manufacturing exemption, and imposing a value-added or consumption-based tax the U.S. can bring its tax policy into the 21^st Century and provide incentives for companies to take advantage of the vast resources in the U.S.

Ireland exemplifies the benefits of this approach. Less than twenty years ago, Ireland was the poorest country in the European Union; today it is one of the wealthiest. The country’s turnaround has been credited to a highly-educated English speaking workforce, targeted incentives for knowledge-based businesses that have since morphed into a 12.5% corporate tax rate, and an effective government-private sector partnership aimed at reducing bureaucratic friction and other impediments to inward investment. The Irish understood that Foreign Direct Investment (“FDI”) creates inward investment in infrastructure that creates jobs for its citizens. There is absolutely no reason that the U.S. cannot replicate the success of the Irish.

Canada has also been very successful by cutting corporate tax rates and implementing a consumption-based system of taxation. And, like the U.S., they have states that have their own systems of taxation. We need a permanent R&D credit because it will eliminate the “brain-drain” in the U.S. and act as an incentive to locate knowledge-based personnel in the U.S. which will help spawn new industries and create additional jobs. To pay for the corporate tax rate reduction, a consumption-based tax should be implemented at the federal level with some type of harmonization with the states overtime so that consumer consumption is taxed. These steps will improve the long-term savings rate in the U.S. significantly improving the quality of life in this country and strengthening the embattled Dollar.

Despite much debate in Washington, the hundreds of gallons of ink spilled and pounds of paper consumed – not to mention the billions of 1s and 0s expended in cyberspace – nowhere does the Obama administration’s Green Book or other tax-legislative proposals provide for a national sales tax. The focus is entirely on increasing the federal wage tax base.

Kenneth Baer, a spokesman for White House Budget Director Peter Orszag, told the Washington Post in May that “while we do not want to rule any credible idea in or out as we discuss the way forward with Congress, the VAT tax, in particular, is popular with academics but highly controversial with policymakers.”

It would seem that at some point in the not-too-distant future employees will be faced with an increasing burden on their wages with little hope of receiving the benefit such taxes promise. Social Security is on shaky ground at best. With some form of nationalized healthcare in the offing (increasing the burden on employees and their employers) Congress should be considering a national sales tax or consumption-based tax.

NOTE: We could devote an entire series of blogs to the differences between and benefits and drawbacks of a true sales tax verses a value-added (or goods and services) tax. We’re not going to do that. Mostly because it would be pretty dull for all but the most hardcore tax wonks. Suffice it to say that if you really, desperately want to read more about it. Go here, here or here.

Consider that the U.S. is the only OECD member state that does not have some form of nationalized healthcare or a consumption tax at the federal level. Other OECD member states that have enacted nationalized healthcare have resorted to consumption-based tax systems to pay for those benefits.

Such systems are tax-neutral for businesses for the most part and are borne by the consumer. They also have the added benefit of allowing exemptions and /or reduced rates of taxation for certain classes of products, e.g., ethical pharmaceuticals, children’s clothing, etc., thereby constraining the regressive nature of the tax with regard to social causes. Individual states in the U.S. have managed to provide a sales-tax base that is fair for the most part. Why not at the federal level too?

From the perspective of preserving the dwindling corporate tax base, a consumption tax should allow the U.S. to reduce the corporate tax rate – currently the second highest amongst the OECD member states.

U.S.-based multinational enterprises are increasingly moving their operations out of the U.S. to lower-tax jurisdictions. High corporate tax rates affect Foreign Direct Investment (“FDI”) into the U.S.; which provides jobs and other opportunities for American workers.

Examples abound. Currently the Japanese have the world’s highest corporate tax rate and have suffered economically for almost two decades. By contrast, Ireland suffered significant unemployment and declining FDI in the early ‘80s. By reducing the corporate tax rate (now at 12.5%), the country generated a significant increase in FDI leading to historic employment levels and economic growth. Closer to home, Canadian corporate taxes have been steadily reduced and are expected to be around 25% in 2012. The Canadian economy has grown.

It’s time for the US Congress to bring U.S. tax law into the 21^st century. Apparently it is more politically expedient to tax the working class with an outmoded payroll tax without any regard to the longer-term implications of having the second highest corporate tax burden in the OECD.